The prediction market operator Kalshi experienced a whirlwind period recently. The firm introduced regulated perpetual contracts, generated $5.5 billion in trade volume, and secured a compliance partnership — moves designed to appeal to institutional investors.
On May 29, 2026, the CFTC gave the green light to Kalshi’s spot bitcoin-linked perpetual futures product, designated BTCPERP. Trading commenced on June 3.
The contract surpassed $1 billion in notional volume within its first week. By day 14, that figure had soared past $5.5 billion.
Kalshi now operates 11 perpetual futures contracts, each linked to cryptocurrency tokens. The platform waived trading fees initially to encourage liquidity growth.
Perpetual futures represent derivatives without expiration dates. They maintain price alignment with underlying assets through periodic funding rate adjustments.
These instruments dominate crypto trading globally. However, U.S.-based participants previously needed overseas platforms to access them.
Kalshi’s offering breaks that pattern — it operates under U.S. regulation and clearing, which the CFTC described as groundbreaking.
The company disclosed ongoing regulatory discussions about extending perpetual futures beyond cryptocurrency into other asset categories. Such expansion would challenge traditional commodity and equity derivatives exchanges.
Kalshi recently surpassed competitor Polymarket in monthly taker volume. Polymarket has revealed plans for its own U.S.-based perpetual futures platform.
On compliance matters, Kalshi revealed a collaboration with StarCompliance, which provides trading surveillance tools for financial organizations.
Workers at companies deploying StarCompliance must connect their Kalshi accounts to the monitoring system. The platform watches trades as they happen and can identify questionable patterns.
The objective is preventing employees from exploiting confidential material information through prediction market positions — an escalating worry as these platforms grow.
Kelvin Dickenson, StarCompliance’s chief product officer, indicated the system might eventually mandate trade pre-approval before execution.
Max Crowley, Kalshi’s VP of business development, explained the integration originated from a New York hedge fund wanting Kalshi access but lacking compatible compliance infrastructure.
Last week, Kalshi began requiring traders to reveal their employers when betting on markets with elevated insider trading exposure.
JPMorgan has advised staff to exercise caution when using prediction markets related to financial sectors. Rating agency KBRA implemented a complete employee ban on prediction market participation.
Kalshi faces legal challenges too. The company recently filed suit against Minnesota over a felony prohibition on prediction markets. The CFTC is defending its regulatory authority in a separate Massachusetts lawsuit.
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