Ethereum is trading near $1,583 as it tests a zone traders are watching closely. The coin has dropped 7.36% over the past three weeks, and the next move could set the tone for the rest of the year.
Some analysts see a long accumulation phase ending soon. Others point to steady selling from large holders. Here is what the charts and data show right now.
ETH is changing hands around $1,583.61, up 0.67% on the day. Its 24-hour trading volume sits at $38.46 billion, and the market cap is near $190.78 billion.
Open interest in ETH futures stands at $21.92 billion, down 1.61% over the past day. That suggests some traders are stepping back rather than adding new bets.
Chart watcher Ted Pillows says ETH is back inside its high-demand zone. He noted that if the $1,500 level holds, ETH could see a relief rally next month.
A separate chart from CryptoPatel shows a similar pattern. It marks the current price area as an accumulation zone, comparable to dips seen after past Bitcoin halving events in 2016 and 2020.
Trader Javon Marks goes further. He believes ETH is in the late stages of a massive accumulation phase.
In his view, a breakout could push ETH past the $5,000 mark, then toward $8,500, and potentially above $12,000 if that level breaks too. This is one trader's chart-based outlook, not a guaranteed outcome.
On-chain tracker Arkham flagged that BlackRock has sold ETH for seven straight trading days. The asset manager last bought Ethereum on June 16, about two weeks before this report.
The reason behind the selling streak has not been confirmed publicly. It could reflect fund rebalancing, client redemptions, or a shift in short-term strategy.
Whatever the cause, steady selling from a major holder tends to weigh on short-term price action.
As of June 29, ETH ETFs recorded a daily net outflow of $30.04 million. That marks continued caution from institutional money, even as some retail traders eye a bounce.
ETF flows often move ahead of price. Persistent outflows alongside falling open interest suggest the market is still digesting recent losses rather than building fresh momentum.
A widely shared chart from trader Celal Kucuker lays out a path of $1,500 to $1,200, then $2,300, $1,955, $2,900, $3,600, $2,880, $4,300, $5,000, and $6,000 or higher.
It is presented as a zoomed-out, multi-leg roadmap rather than a straight line up.
This kind of step pattern, with sharp pullbacks between gains, is common in long crypto cycles. It does not rule out sharp drops along the way.
Support sits near $1,500, a level multiple chart readers are pointing to as critical. A close below it could open the door to deeper losses toward the $1,200 area mentioned in Kucuker's roadmap.
On the upside, reclaiming and holding above $1,700 to $1,800 would be an early sign that buyers are stepping back in.
A move through $2,300 would likely confirm a shift toward the more bullish scenarios laid out above.
For now, Ethereum sits at a crossroads. Institutional selling and ETF outflows argue for caution, while several independent chart patterns point to a possible base forming.
The next few weeks near $1,500 should make the direction clearer.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and carry significant risk. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

